KBRA Releases Research – OBBBA Casts Shadow on the Solar ABS Industry

KBRA releases research examining the potential impact of the recently passed One Big Beautiful Bill Act (OBBBA) on the solar asset-backed securities (ABS) market.

The U.S. solar ABS market has generally experienced growth over the past three years, marked by a notable shift from solar loan to solar lease and power purchase agreement (PPA) issuance. However, the recently passed OBBBA is creating uncertainty across the industry. OBBBA rolls back several clean energy incentives introduced under the Inflation Reduction Act (IRA)—a key catalyst for industry expansion. The impact is expected to be more immediate and significant for the solar loan segment, as investment tax credits (ITC) will be eliminated by year-end. In contrast, solar lease/PPA originators are actively pursuing “safe harbor” strategies to preserve ITC eligibility through at least 2027 and potentially until 2030. Consequently, solar loan ABS issuance is expected to decline significantly, whereas issuance backed by leases and PPAs may remain relatively steady. The OBBBA does not affect ITCs for existing ABS transactions, as those credits have already been earned. However, reduced demand for new installations could challenge the financial stability of many solar ABS transaction managers.

Click here to view the report.

Related Publication

• A Decade of Solar Loan ABS: Trends and Developments

About KBRA

KBRA, one of the major credit rating agencies, is registered in the U.S., EU, and the UK. KBRA is recognized as a Qualified Rating Agency in Taiwan, and is also a Designated Rating Organization for structured finance ratings in Canada. As a full-service credit rating agency, investors can use KBRA ratings for regulatory capital purposes in multiple jurisdictions.

Doc ID: 1010279

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